Major transport infrastructure projects generally have a history of cost overruns, delays and demand shortfalls. Costs and construction periods are underestimated and benefits are overestimated. This leads to economic inefficiencies and decreased faith in governments, consultants, contractors, programmes and programme delivery.

However, several projects are built on time and budget and deliver the promised benefits. These projects may be termed success projects. In the PhD these projects are scrutinized upon, in search of success factors.

Because little research has been done in this field, the research is exploratory, and based upon case study research, investigating successful major road, rail, bridge and tunnel projects. The methodology includes interviews with professionals who are are experienced in building successful projects. The results are combined with existing knowledge on unsuccessful major projects, literature on project management, literature on success and knowledge based upon statistical analyses of major projects. 

The purpose is to develop a "theory of success" for major infrastructure projects. The research will use and contribute to theories of decision making and success. This project is done as a PhD dissertation at the Delft University of Technology under supervision of Bert van Wee and Jan Anne Annema.

Publications in English:

  1. -Jong, M. de (2010). The North South Line: Explaining cost overruns and benefit shortfalls. Paper presented at World Conference of Transport Research, Lisbon, 11-15 July 2010.

  2. -Jong, M. de (2009). Success in Major Transport Infrastructure Projects: a Dissertation Proposal. Paper presented at the The Next Generation Infrastructures Conference in Chennai, India. 9 - 11 December.

  3. -Jong, M. de (2009). Lille Europe: A Success Story?. Paper presented on the international International Symposium “Railways, Real Estate & the Re-Making of Cities in the 21st Century - Rail Station Area Redevelopment Mega-Projects in Europe & Beyond” in Berlin, 16-17 October 2009.

Publications in Dutch:

  1. -Jong, M. de & Annema, J.A. (2010) Waarom de Erasmusbrug een succesverhaal is; Succesfactoren volgens 7 betrokkenen. Paper presented at Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk, Roermond. 25-26 November, 2010.

  2. -Jong, M. de & Annema, J.A. (2010). De geschiedenis van de toekomst: 42 Verkeersprognoses uit het verleden geanalyseerd. Den Haag: Kennisinstituut voor Mobiliteitsbeleid.

  3. -Martens, M.A. & Jong, M. de (2009). Governance Verkeersmodellen. Paper presented at Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk, Antwerpen. 19-20 November, 2009.

  4. -Annema, J.A. & Jong, M. de (2009). The Dutch case of testing on future air quality: an example of improper model use in a decision-making process. Paper presented at European Transport Conference, Noordwijkerhout. 5-7 October, 2009.

  5. -Jong, M. de (2009). Vasco da Gamabrug, een succesvol megaproject. Stedebouw & Ruimtelijke Ordening. Volume 90. Nr. 3. 28-29.

  6. -Jong, M. de (2009). Ook Veerman onderschat risico’s metro. De Volkskrant. 22 June. p 7.

  7. -Annema, J.A. & Jong, M. de (2008). Milieuschattingen in planstudies: een voorstel tot vereenvoudiging. Den Haag: Kennisinstituut voor Mobiliteitsbeleid.

  8. -Annema, J.A. & Jong, M. de (2008). Scenario’s in historisch perspectief. Paper presented at Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk, Santpoort, November 20-21, 2008

  9. -Jong, M. de (2008). Dokmodel Zuidas is duur en onaantrekkelijk. OV-Magazine. Jaargang 2008. Nr. 8. p 32-34

  10. -Jong, M. de (2006). Zuidas: Verschillende rollen in een complexe omgeving. Thesis (BSc) Universiteit van Amsterdam.

Major Transport Infrastructure Projects

Major Transport Infrastructure Projects